XRP’s August 2025 market performance has been a study in extremes. The resolution of the long-running SEC lawsuit on August 7 sparked a 4% surge as institutional buyers stepped in, pushing prices from $3.15 to $3.25.
Volumes spiked to 140 million tokens, confirming resistance at $3.30. However, profit-taking and wash trading concerns quickly pulled prices back, showing a tug-of-war between bullish momentum and short-term uncertainty.
By mid-August, XRP attempted another breakout at $3.27 with over 217 million tokens traded, but the inability to hold above $3.30 kept the market cautious.
Technicals show a descending triangle, typically bearish, but with RSI above 50 and MACD positive, a breakout could still favor the bulls. Key levels remain $3.00 for support and $3.40 as the gateway to retesting the all-time high of $3.66.
Institutions appear to be quietly positioning. XRP-based investment products saw $37.7 million in Q1 inflows, while open interest in XRP futures has climbed past $3 billion. Many large players are using TWAP and VWAP strategies to accumulate without triggering sharp price jumps.
However, Coinbase’s recent 57% reduction in XRP holdings, from 52 wallets to 35, has fueled speculation about waning institutional confidence. While skeptics view it as a bearish signal, others argue it’s a portfolio rebalancing move in preparation for regulatory shifts.
Stablecoin adoption on the XRP Ledger has also surged 46%, thanks to Ripple’s RLUSD launch, supporting the token’s utility despite reduced speculative buzz.
Concerns over wash trading, sparked by validator reports of repetitive large transfers between exchange wallets, have weighed on sentiment, triggering a 6% sell-off and $59.3 million in liquidations. Yet, for disciplined investors, such volatility can signal accumulation zones.
XRP's price trends to the upside, but records small losses, on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview
Strategic entry points include a sustained breakout above $3.30, which would validate institutional re-entry, or a bounce from $3.00 support for a short-term rebound. With derivatives activity rising and XRP’s cross-border payment utility growing, the token remains a high-risk, high-reward play.
For now, XRP sits at a crossroads, caught between inflation-driven macro headwinds and expanding real-world adoption. If institutional flows hold and regulatory clarity continues, the current instability may be a buying sign.
Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart from Tradingview
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