The FOMC crypto narrative dominates financial headlines today as traders brace for a one-two punch of macro and tech catalysts that could reshape market sentiment. The Federal Open Market Committee’s rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting remarks, followed by earnings from Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft, are creating a perfect storm for volatility.
With Bitcoin hovering near $112,500 and Ethereum struggling to hold above $4,000, investors are asking the key question: Can the crypto market recover if Wall Street and the Fed align on a dovish stance?
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All signals point to a crucial policy pivot. The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate to a 3.75-4% range, marking the clearest sign yet that the Fed is transitioning toward easing. Powell’s tone will be pivotal; any hints of future cuts or “soft landing” optimism could act as rocket fuel for risk assets like crypto.
(Source – Polymarket)
Historically,
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1.34%
Bitcoin
BTC
Price
$113,222.31
1.34% /24h
Volume in 24h
$67.51B
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rallies 5-8% within 48 hours of rate cuts, while
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3.09%
Ethereum
ETH
Price
$4,026.62
3.09% /24h
Volume in 24h
$33.03B
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trends to outperform with 6-10% gains, especially when liquidity conditions improve. A dovish press conference could send BTC toward $116,000-$118,000, aided by ETF inflows and a weaker U.S. dollar (which has already slid to 98.5). Conversely, if Powell strikes a hawkish tone, the market could retrace to $110,000 support level.
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If the Fed provides the liquidity, big tech may deliver the spark. Tonight’s earnings trifecta from Google, Meta, and Microsoft will heavily influence both equity and digital asset markets. These firms collectively make up nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s market cap, and their performance often mirrors investor risk appetite.
(Source – Yahoo Finance)
A strong earnings beat could lift the Nasdaq and spill into crypto, especially ETH and large-cap alts, given their strong historical correlation with tech stocks. On the other hand, disappointing results could stall momentum, leading to short-term weakness across both markets.
In short, a dovish Fed and bullish earnings could deliver a synchronized FOMC pump, sending BTC, ETH, and other significant assets higher by week’s end.
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Even amid short-term uncertainty, structural strength in the crypto market remains intact. Institutional inflows continue to rise, with over $283M entering crypto ETFs yesterday, and major entities like BitMine reportedly accumulating 77,000 ETH ahead of the meeting. Meanwhile, the total crypto market cap sits near $4Tr, with analysts eyeing a breakout above if macro catalysts align.
https://twitter.com/TedPillows/status/1960612933659959537?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw” rel=”nofollow” target=”_blank
However, traders should stay cautious. If inflation data or Powell’s remarks hint at “higher for longer,” the rally could fizzle quickly. With FOMC, crypto volatility is expected, and the next 48 hours could see a sharp swing until the market finds a direction.
For now, crypto bulls are watching for one thing: confirmation that liquidity is returning. If Powell and the big tech both deliver, this could mark the start of the next leg of crypto recovery, a sentiment-driven push that rekindles the bull run narrative across BTC, ETH, and beyond.
DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025
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